Conf = Atlantic Coast State = NC
Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.9328842 home-field advantage = -0.90 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A James Madison American (13- 7, 93.8) 18-19 213 H Liberty Atlantic Sun ( 6-12, 87.6) 19- 6 217 H Florida American (20- 3, 98.4) 19-10 223 A Virginia Atlantic Coas (15- 5, 96.4) 10- 9 225 H High Point Big South (12- 6, 87.0) 23- 3 302 H Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (16- 4, 97.6) 5- 7 309 A Clemson Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.5) 18- 9 312 H East Carolina American ( 4-12, 86.3) 14- 6 316 A Syracuse Atlantic Coas (16- 6, 99.1) 5-20 323 H Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 8-11, 91.8) 18-12 325 H Northwestern Big Ten (18- 3, 99.8) 10-16 330 A Boston College Atlantic Coas (20- 3, 99.9) 12-18 406 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 91.7) 13- 9 413 A Pittsburgh Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 88.2) 16- 9 418 H Duke Atlantic Coas (10- 9, 92.4) 16-11 424 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (15- 5, 96.4) 12-13 510 N Florida American (20- 3, 98.4) 8-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A James Madison 18-19 -1 1 - -2.28 213 H Liberty 19- 6 13 9 0.00 217 H Florida 19-10 9 -1 +++ 8.56 223 A Virginia 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.33 225 H High Point 23- 3 20 9 0.00 302 H Notre Dame 5- 7 -2 0 -1.26 309 A Clemson 18- 9 9 1 ++ 5.45 312 H East Carolina 14- 6 8 10 0.00 316 A Syracuse 5-20 -15 -4 - -2.97 323 H Louisville 18-12 6 5 0.97 325 H Northwestern 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.07 330 A Boston College 12-18 -6 -4 -1.18 406 H Virginia Tech 13- 9 4 5 -1.18 413 A Pittsburgh 16- 9 7 6 0.08 418 H Duke 16-11 5 4 0.56 424 H Virginia 12-13 -1 0 -1.46 510 N Florida 8-17 -9 -2 -- -4.54UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 N Florida 8-17 -9 -2 -- -4.54 210 A James Madison 18-19 -1 1 - -2.28 316 A Syracuse 5-20 -15 -4 - -2.97 325 H Northwestern 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.07OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Florida 19-10 9 -1 +++ 8.56 309 A Clemson 18- 9 9 1 ++ 5.45 223 A Virginia 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.33
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.98 Power Rank................. 16 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 86.11 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7318 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 6 RPI Rating............... .6167 RPI Rank................... 18 Champ. Probability ...... 5.0 Championship Rank ......... 7 Selection sum ........... 41 Selection Rank ............ 15 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 17 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 5. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 17 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7